Anticipating implications of geopolitical tensions
Taiwan Radar
Keep track of geopolitical developments that affect your China-related activities. At the centre of these developments are the tensions relating to the status of Taiwan. The Taiwan Radar is a scenario-based overview, weekly updated, of recent geopolitical developments relating to Taiwan.
The disputed status of Taiwan is at the core of the geopolitical struggle between China and the US. While Taiwan wants to preserve its autonomy, China aims to bring the island under its political control. The US, while not recognizing Taiwan as an independent state, provides the island with weapons to help it defend itself against China. As the rivalry between the US and China increases, tensions between China and Taiwan have been intensifying.
Indicators to watch
We monitor the following criteria in order to assess their impact on the four scenarios and to help companies decide on the right timing to prepare for, and execute, a possible exit strategy.
Black Swans
Black swans are sudden, unexpected events that can be major game-changers, but that are rarely considered in the media or by companies. We keep track of developments that could lead to any of these black swan events. The Taiwan Radar will alert you in case we detect an increased likelihood of the occurrence of such an event.
Latest developments
Selection of news articles
Recent developments around Taiwan that have an impact on China’s geopolitical position and regional stability in East-Asia. We have selected and summarised the most important articles for you, so you are fully up to speed. The information we share is fact-based and up-to-date, and is further supported with our own comments.